Goldman Sachs slashed its recession forecast not long after raising the chance of a downturn. The bank walked back its forecasts Wednesday an hour after Trump paused most of his tariffs. The bank now ...

Goldman Sachs has again increased the possibility of a recession beginning in the next 12 months, with the investment bank warning on Sunday that its recession odds would hike even further if all of ...

Goldman Sachs economists lowered their recession forecast for the U.S. to 35%, from 45% previously, following a temporary tariff truce between the U.S. and China on Monday, which lifted hopes of ...

An inverted rate yield curve – that is, a long-term interest rate that falls to or below the short-term interest rate – seems to have a track record of predicting recessions. The question of leading ...

Goldman Sachs economists said Wednesday afternoon that a recession is no longer their base case following Trump’s tariff pause. “We are reverting to our previous non-recession baseline forecast with ...

Financial market participants believe the Bank of Canada will hold interest rates at their current level of 2.25 per cent ...

The Bank of Canada’s latest Market Participants Survey points to softer economic momentum, rising recession risks and a ...

Real economic growth in the United States contracted 0.3% in the first quarter of 2025. Although that's an initial estimate, that's a remarkable development because it comes in the middle of a period ...

Markets see a 1-in-3 chance Canada slips into recession by March 2026, as optimism fades and near-term risk peaks, says Bank ...

Goldman Sachs economists lowered their recession forecast for the U.S. to 35%, from 45% previously, following a temporary tariff truce between the U.S. and China on Monday, which lifted hopes of ...

Imagine you are sailing a ship through dense fog, looking out for land. Your lookout spots species of birds typically found offshore. It now seems likely that you are approaching land, but it is ...